tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Washington via Orlando: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:40 SDF → 08:40 MCO
    WN 4679 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:40 MCO → 12:59 DCA
    AA 2088 · American · 2h 19m · 93% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip6h 19mSDF 06:40 to DCA 12:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.