tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → New York via Orlando: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:40 SDF → 08:40 MCO
    WN 4679 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:51 MCO → 13:24 LGA
    DL 1164 · Delta · 2h 36m · 84% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 47mSDF 06:40 to LGA 13:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.