tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Burbank via Las Vegas: arrives on time 30%

  1. 18:10 OAK → 19:45 LAS
    WN 4693 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 LAS → 21:55 BUR
    WN 2163 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip3h 45mOAK 18:10 to BUR 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.