Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Denver via Nashville: arrives on time 33%
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11:05 LGA → 12:30 BNAWN 470 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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1h 10m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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13:40 BNA → 15:25 DENWN 503 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 20mLGA 11:05 to DEN 15:25, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.