tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → New Orleans via Orlando: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:15 BNA → 12:10 MCO
    WN 4712 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:53 MCO → 14:49 MSY
    F9 1431 · Frontier · 1h 56m · 82% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 34mBNA 09:15 to MSY 14:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.