tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Chicago via Austin: arrives on time 12%

  1. 12:50 MCO → 14:30 AUS
    WN 4719 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 72% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 AUS → 18:00 MDW
    WN 360 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 18% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (18%).
Total trip6h 10mMCO 12:50 to MDW 18:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.