tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Tampa via St Louis: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:10 HOU → 19:10 STL
    WN 4724 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 STL → 23:18 TPA
    WN 4619 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 10mHOU 17:10 to TPA 23:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.