tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Tampa via Baltimore: arrives on time 66%

  1. 14:50 BUF → 16:05 BWI
    WN 4734 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 BWI → 21:50 TPA
    WN 1123 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 74% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 00mBUF 14:50 to TPA 21:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.