tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Houston via Dallas: arrives on time 36%

  1. 13:00 MCI → 14:35 DAL
    WN 4759 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 75% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 DAL → 16:50 HOU
    WN 37 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 66% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip3h 50mMCI 13:00 to HOU 16:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.