tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 39%

  1. 13:55 SAN → 16:50 SEA
    WN 4769 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 SEA → 20:05 SMF
    WN 3566 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 10mSAN 13:55 to SMF 20:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.