tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Buffalo via Baltimore: arrives on time 45%

  1. 19:50 CLT → 21:25 BWI
    WN 478 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 44% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 BWI → 00:15 BUF +1 day
    WN 4577 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 68% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 20mCLT 19:50 to BUF 00:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.