tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Raleigh/Durham via Nashville: arrives on time 49%

  1. 14:10 HOU → 16:05 BNA
    WN 478 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 BNA → 20:10 RDU
    WN 4820 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 00mHOU 14:10 to RDU 20:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.