tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kailua/Kona via Kahului: arrives on time 86%

  1. 09:00 SMF → 11:20 OGG
    WN 479 · Southwest · 5h 20m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:50 OGG → 14:30 KOA
    WN 3099 · Southwest · 40m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 30mSMF 09:00 to KOA 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.