tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Denver via New Orleans: arrives on time 15%

  1. 15:15 DAL → 16:40 MSY
    WN 4793 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 MSY → 19:45 DEN
    WN 1743 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip5h 30mDAL 15:15 to DEN 19:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.