tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Tampa via New Orleans: arrives on time 27%

  1. 15:15 DAL → 16:40 MSY
    WN 4793 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 MSY → 20:20 TPA
    WN 3023 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip4h 05mDAL 15:15 to TPA 20:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.