tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → Nashville via Kansas City: arrives on time 22%

  1. 14:10 PNS → 16:15 MCI
    WN 4795 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Kansas City (MCI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 MCI → 19:05 BNA
    WN 4269 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip4h 55mPNS 14:10 to BNA 19:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.