tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Pensacola via Nashville: arrives on time 15%

  1. 16:00 MIA → 17:25 BNA
    WN 4799 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 31% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 BNA → 20:00 PNS
    WN 4630 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 48% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pensacola is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip4h 55mMIA 16:00 to PNS 20:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.