tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Orlando via Nashville: arrives on time 13%

  1. 16:00 MIA → 17:25 BNA
    WN 4799 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 31% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 BNA → 21:40 MCO
    WN 571 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 26% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (26%).
Total trip5h 45mMIA 16:00 to MCO 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.