tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Baltimore via Ontario: arrives on time 87%

  1. 17:30 SMF → 18:55 ONT
    WN 480 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 75% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Ontario (ONT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 ONT → 05:30 BWI +1 day
    WN 3143 · Southwest · 4h 50m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 00mSMF 17:30 to BWI 05:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.