tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Chicago via Ontario: arrives on time 81%

  1. 17:30 SMF → 18:55 ONT
    WN 480 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 75% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 5h 00m layover in Ontario (ONT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:55 ONT → 05:40 MDW +1 day
    WN 3153 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 255 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 5h 00m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip10h 10mSMF 17:30 to MDW 05:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.