tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Chicago via Phoenix: arrives on time 62%

  1. 10:15 RNO → 12:05 PHX
    WN 4805 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:55 PHX → 21:15 MDW
    WN 4085 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip9h 00mRNO 10:15 to MDW 21:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.