tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 66%

  1. 05:40 RNO → 07:10 SAN
    WN 4806 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 90% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:00 SAN → 09:20 PHX
    WN 3524 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip3h 40mRNO 05:40 to PHX 09:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.