tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Tampa via Columbus: arrives on time 17%

  1. 16:30 BNA → 18:50 CMH
    WN 481 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Columbus (CMH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:40 CMH → 21:55 TPA
    WN 1217 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection32%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 68% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (32%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip4h 25mBNA 16:30 to TPA 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.