tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Portland via San Diego: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 STS → 07:40 SAN
    WN 4813 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 89% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:04 SAN → 13:43 PDX
    AS 576 · Alaska · 2h 39m · 88% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 43mSTS 06:00 to PDX 13:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.