tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → New York via Dallas: arrives on time 29%

  1. 13:00 FLL → 14:50 DAL
    WN 4819 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 28% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 DAL → 20:25 LGA
    WN 4021 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip7h 25mFLL 13:00 to LGA 20:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.