Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Detroit via Nashville: arrives on time 31%

  1. 19:05 STL → 20:10 BNA
    WN 482 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 BNA → 00:08 DTW +1 day
    WN 2210 · Southwest · 1h 38m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip4h 03mSTL 19:05 to DTW 00:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.