tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Phoenix via Austin: arrives on time 41%

  1. 12:55 CVG → 14:30 AUS
    WN 483 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 AUS → 15:50 PHX
    WN 376 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 55mCVG 12:55 to PHX 15:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.