tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Dallas via Chicago: arrives on time 45%

  1. 12:50 PHL → 13:50 MDW
    WN 4837 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 69% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 MDW → 18:35 DAL
    WN 2758 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 52% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 45mPHL 12:50 to DAL 18:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.