tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kailua/Kona via Los Angeles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 12:15 SMF → 13:45 LAX
    WN 4844 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 72% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:10 LAX → 19:47 KOA
    UA 1718 · United · 5h 37m · 90% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip10h 32mSMF 12:15 to KOA 19:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.