tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → San Francisco via Las Vegas: arrives on time 4%

  1. 10:40 DAL → 11:25 LAS
    WN 486 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 62% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:20 LAS → 13:55 SFO
    WN 2343 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 8% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time4%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (8%).
Total trip5h 15mDAL 10:40 to SFO 13:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.