tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Las Vegas via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 23%

  1. 17:00 PHX → 19:35 SLC
    WN 4867 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 SLC → 20:55 LAS
    WN 3745 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip3h 55mPHX 17:00 to LAS 20:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.