tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Tampa via Nashville: arrives on time 76%

  1. 09:45 BWI → 10:35 BNA
    WN 487 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:30 BNA → 16:24 TPA
    AA 3823 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 54m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 39mBWI 09:45 to TPA 16:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.