tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Austin via Nashville: arrives on time 65%

  1. 09:45 BWI → 10:35 BNA
    WN 487 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 BNA → 13:40 AUS
    WN 450 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 55mBWI 09:45 to AUS 13:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.