tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Indianapolis via Orlando: arrives on time 62%

  1. 21:55 SAN → 05:55 MCO
    WN 4874 · Southwest · 5h 00m · 70% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:50 MCO → 09:10 IND +1 day
    WN 2642 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip8h 15mSAN 21:55 to IND 09:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.