tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Chicago via Louisville: arrives on time 85%

  1. 14:40 BWI → 16:25 SDF
    WN 4885 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Louisville (SDF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 SDF → 20:20 MDW
    WN 3329 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 92% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 40mBWI 14:40 to MDW 20:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.