tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Denver via Pittsburgh: arrives on time 10%

  1. 13:58 AUS → 17:52 PIT
    WN 4890 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Pittsburgh (PIT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 PIT → 20:05 DEN
    WN 4072 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (33%).
Total trip7h 07mAUS 13:58 to DEN 20:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.