tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Houston via Fort Lauderdale: arrives on time 19%

  1. 14:55 MDW → 18:55 FLL
    WN 4899 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 51% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Fort Lauderdale (FLL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 FLL → 21:45 HOU
    WN 4583 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 30% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip6h 50mMDW 14:55 to HOU 21:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.