tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Columbus via Fort Lauderdale: arrives on time 14%

  1. 14:55 MDW → 18:55 FLL
    WN 4899 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 51% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Fort Lauderdale (FLL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 FLL → 22:28 CMH
    WN 645 · Southwest · 2h 42m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection27%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 73% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (27%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip6h 32mMDW 14:55 to CMH 22:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.