tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Denver via Dallas: arrives on time 21%

  1. 18:58 BNA → 20:52 DAL
    WN 490 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 DAL → 22:55 DEN
    WN 1305 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 02mBNA 18:58 to DEN 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.