tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Oakland via Santa Ana: arrives on time 67%

  1. 18:00 PHX → 19:10 SNA
    WN 4906 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 63% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 SNA → 22:00 OAK
    WN 312 · Southwest · 1h 28m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip3h 58mPHX 18:00 to OAK 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.