Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Oakland via San Diego: arrives on time 21%

  1. 14:25 SEA → 17:20 SAN
    WN 4910 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 41% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 SAN → 19:55 OAK
    WN 3017 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 30mSEA 14:25 to OAK 19:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.