tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Dallas via San Diego: arrives on time 10%

  1. 14:25 SEA → 17:20 SAN
    WN 4910 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 41% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 SAN → 23:15 DAL
    WN 3492 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection26%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 74% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (26%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip6h 45mSEA 14:25 to DAL 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.