tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Houston via Ontario: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:00 SMF → 07:20 ONT
    WN 4911 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 97% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Ontario (ONT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 ONT → 14:50 HOU
    WN 4868 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 50mSMF 06:00 to HOU 14:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.