tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Reno via Long Beach: arrives on time 38%

  1. 13:15 AUS → 14:10 LGB
    WN 4915 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Long Beach (LGB) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 LGB → 18:50 RNO
    WN 2496 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip7h 35mAUS 13:15 to RNO 18:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.