tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Oakland via Long Beach: arrives on time 50%

  1. 13:15 AUS → 14:10 LGB
    WN 4915 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Long Beach (LGB) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 LGB → 16:45 OAK
    WN 4747 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 30mAUS 13:15 to OAK 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.