tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Houston via Orlando: arrives on time 15%

  1. 16:25 CMH → 18:45 MCO
    WN 4918 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 MCO → 21:00 HOU
    WN 4493 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 35% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (35%).
Total trip5h 35mCMH 16:25 to HOU 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.