tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → St Louis via Seattle: arrives on time 88%

  1. 05:00 SMF → 06:55 SEA
    WN 4920 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 SEA → 14:50 STL
    WN 3632 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 90% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 50mSMF 05:00 to STL 14:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.