tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 18%

  1. 15:22 MCO → 17:02 ATL
    WN 4922 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 ATL → 18:55 MDW
    WN 232 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 48% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip4h 33mMCO 15:22 to MDW 18:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.