tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Phoenix via Burbank: arrives on time 48%

  1. 13:58 SJC → 15:05 BUR
    WN 4931 · Southwest · 1h 08m · 67% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Burbank (BUR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:55 BUR → 17:25 PHX
    WN 819 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 79% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip3h 27mSJC 13:58 to PHX 17:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.