tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Valparaiso via Charlotte: arrives on time 51%

  1. 16:05 STL → 18:55 CLT
    WN 4937 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:09 CLT → 21:49 VPS
    AA 2197 · American · 1h 40m · 66% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 44mSTL 16:05 to VPS 21:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.